Impacts of tropical land-use change on dry-season flows
Researcher: J. Peña-Arancibia
Current affiliation: CSIRO Land and Water; King's College, London, UK
Supervisors:
Duration: 2008-2012
Funding: Microsoft Research Ltd.; CSIRO Land and Water
Research questions and objectives
The aim of this project is to assess the impact of land-use and land-cover change (LUCC) on dry-season flows across the tropics through a combination of hydrological analysis and modelling.
Specific objectives include:
- to define reference hydrological conditions under natural forest conditions
- to evaluate where tropical LUCC (both deforestation and reforestation) can be expected to have the greatest impacts on dry-season flows
- to assess the potential for rehabilitation and regeneration of hydrological services in degraded areas through reforestation
Project publications
- Peña-Arancibia, J.L., van Dijk, A.I.J.M., Renzullo, L.J. & Mulligan, M. (2013). Evaluation of precipitation estimation accuracy in reanalyses, satellite products, and an ensemble method for regions in Australia and South and East Asia. Journal of Hydrometeorology 14 (4), 1323-1333.
- Pena Arancibia, J.L. (2013). Impacts of land use change on dry season flows across the tropics. Forests as 'sponges' and 'pumps. Doctoral dissertation, University of London, May 2013, 262 pp.
- Van Dijk, A.I.J.M., Pena-Arancibia, J.L. & Bruijnzeel LA. (2012). Land cover and water yield: inference problems when comparing catchments with mixed land cover. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 16, 1-13.
- Pena Arancibia, J.L., van Dijk, A.I.J.M. & Renzullo, L. (2012). Evaluation of precipitation from reanalyses and satellite products in Australia and East Asia [abstract]. EGU General Assembly 2012 Geophysical Research Abstracts Vol. 14, 22-27 April 2012, Vienna: EGU2012-6941.
- Pena Arancibia, J.L., van Dijk, A.I.J.M., Stenson, M. & Viney, N. (2011). Opportunities for evaluation of AWRA-L using global data sets. Chan, F., Marinova, D., and Anderssen, R. (eds), MODSIM11, 19th International Congress on Modelling and Simulation, 12-16 December 2011, Perth, Australia: Modelling and Simulation Society of Australia and New Zealand: 4071-4077.
- Peña-Arancibia, J., Van Dijk AIJM, Guerschman JP, Mulligan M, Bruijnzeel LA, McVicar T. (2012). Using multiple lines of evidence to evaluate the hydrological response to deforestation of large catchments in the dry tropics of Queensland, Australia. Journal of Hydrology 416-417, 60-71.
- Van Dijk AIJM, Peña-Arancibia J, Bruijnzeel LA. (2011). Top-down analysis of collated streamflow data from heterogeneous catchments leads to underestimation of land cover influence. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences Discussion 8, 4121-4150.
- Peña-Arancibia J, Van Dijk AIJM, Mulligan M, Bruijnzeel LA. (2010). The role of climatic and terrain attributes in estimating baseflow recession in tropical catchments. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 14: 2193-2205. DOI: 10.5194/hess-14-2193-2010.
Related publications
- Van Dijk, A.I.J.M., Pena-Arancibia, J.L., Wood, E.F., Sheffield, J. & Beck, H.E. (2013). Global analysis of seasonal streamflow predictability using an ensemble prediction system and observations from 6192 small catchments worldwide. Water Resources Research 49: 2729–2746, doi: